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London - Moscow — July 27, 2017, – Total real estate investment in Europe reached €74bn in Q2 2017, representing a 25% increase on the same period last year, according to the latest report from global real estate advisor, CBRE. This brings total investment in real estate in H1 2017 to €130bn, a 13% increase on H1 2016.
The strong quarterly performance was, in large part, driven by an upturn in UK trading activity with volumes reaching €23.4bn in Q2 2017, up from €16bn in Q1 2017, and a 54% increase on the same period last year. The sale of Logicor in Q2 did have substantial UK exposure but even if this large transaction were to be excluded, investment volumes would still be trending up year on year, as market activity continues to recover from the slowdown immediately preceding and following last year’s European Union referendum.
Germany once again proved to be the driving force behind investment growth in Continental Europe which, as a region, posted 15% growth on the same period last year. In Germany, transaction levels for H1 2017 increased by 49% compared to H1 2016, transacting €13.9bn in Q2 2017 and €26.5 for the first half of 2017. The Southern European markets of Italy and Spain, as well as the Netherlands, also witnessed strong investment growth over the quarter, posting 110%, 76% and 38% increases respectively. In France, the results for the first half of 2017 were somewhat muted; however, the election of Macron in May will likely have a positive impact on occupier and investor sentiment, and the investment pipeline has strengthened going into H2 2017.
Q2 2017 was driven by robust growth in the industrial and logistics sector and, to a lesser degree, the alternative sector, as investors look to diversify their asset base. The industrial sector witnessed a 303% increase on the same period last year (which can in part be attributed to the sale of the Logicor portfolio) whilst the alternatives sector posted a 20% increase. Meanwhile, office transactions across Europe in Q2 2017 were down 6% on Q2 2016.
Jonathan Hull, Managing Director of Investment Properties, EMEA at CBRE, commented:
“After a relatively slow start to the year, the UK has seen a significant recovery in investment volumes in Q2 2017. Despite ongoing political uncertainties, the UK remains a pre-eminent market, attracting significant European and global capital. In addition, the Continental European markets continued to perform strongly in the second quarter of 2017 with Germany once again proving a major focus for capital and demonstrating its status as a safe haven for global wealth. “
Growing confidence in the recovery markets of Spain and Italy has come to the fore this quarter as investors seek to allocate capital to these markets,” - Hull added.
Irina Ushakova, Senior Director, Head of Capital Markets Department, CBRE in Russia, commented:
“In Q2 2017, the volume of investment in the Russian real estate market reached $0.9 bn (€0.8 bn), which is twice as much as in the same period last year. Meanwhile, in the first half of 2017, the volume of investment amounted to $1.6 bn (€1.48 bn), which is 36% lower than the total volume of investment in the first half of 2016 ($2.5 bn or €2.3 bn) that was largely driven by one single transaction with the state involvement. One of the main trends observed in early 2017 was significant increase in the share of foreign investment deals in the Russian real estate market that risen from 4,6% in H1 2016 to 34% in H1 2017 (15% were transacted by the global companies, 11% - by Asian, 8% - by European). Also, we observed an increase in investors’ interest in the retail segment, investment in which reached 32% in the first half of 2017, relative to 3% in the first half of 2016. Foreign investors activity indicates the gradual recovery of the market and the potential for investment volumes to reach $5 bn (€4.6 bn), by the end of 2017.”