Dear readers! This is the ninth issue of the journal, which turned out to be very rich and diverse. Traditionally, the issue is opened by an analyst. The material by Alina Nasyrova from the Market Guide Agency, dedicated to investments in warehouse complexes in Russia, recalls the importance of developing logistics infrastructure for the integrated development of regions.
Dear readers! We present to your attention the eighth issue of the magazine and its materials.
Dear readers! This is the seventh issue of LOGISTICS. By tradition, in the July issue, we publish analytical reviews from our partners – a study of the market of low-temperature warehouses in Moscow and the Moscow region from the IBC Real Estate agency and a rating of Russian transport companies by the cost of delivering bulk cargoes in 2025 from the Main Transport Internet project.
RALEIGH, NC – This morning I read an article that addressed the use of forecasts and predictions to understand the future of retail. Although an interesting read, I take exception to understanding forecasts and predictions as one in the same.
To me a forecast is a method to calculate future performance based on an analysis of varying factors and patterns.
I believe a prediction is foreseeing an outcome based on deductive logic or beliefs, rather than a calculation.
On forecasts I fully agree. The past is:
Forecasts are never going to be 100% accurate, but predictions are even less accurate. However, when predictions are accurate they can be a game changer, so I see predictions as being more strategic whereas forecasts are more tactical.
The key with predictions are:
As predicted, Alibaba is a big deal. To better understand Alibaba and Jack Ma The Alibaba Effect video outlines the growth and history of both Alibaba and Jack Ma. Alibaba has 80% of the online business in the largest ecommerce market in the world, China and Alibaba will introduce us all to cross border trade (XBorder) and the importance of marketplaces and it is possible to simultaneously operate B2B, B2C, O2O, and C2C. I understand that for Jack Ma to achieve his ultimate dreams he must build a major US ecommerce business. Jack understands this as well, but he also understands priorities and his priorities are:
Jack Ma continues to pursue his priorities; I forecast he will stay #1 in China eCommerce, I forecast he will stay #1 in XBorder trade, and I predict he will evolve into a leadership position in eCommerce in Russia, Brazil, Europe, and the United States. But as one of Jack’s favorite quotes says, “Be fast like a rabbit and patient as a turtle.” At this point Jack is fast in China and XBorder trade, but patient elsewhere.